Austria's ZAMG: Iodine-131 Forecast in Japan and Far East, April 5-7

It doesn't look pretty on April 7. The only place that's safe from the plume seems to be the northern half of Hokkaido. Everywhere else, even Okinawa may be covered, though very low level. South Korea and part of North Korea may be covered.

Their forecast is here (in German).

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#Fukushima I Nuke Plant: Austria's ZAMG Says Radioactive Iodine from Fukushima I Plant in 3 Days Equals 20% of Total Chernobyl Emissions

Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG) is talking about the three days of March 12, 13, 14.

From ZAMG update on Fukushima I Power Plant on March 24, 2011 (in English):

During the reactor accident in Chernobyl in 1986, the total releases of Iodine-131 and Cesium-137 (whole accident scenario) were 1.76 1018 Bq and 8.5 1016 Bq, respectively. The three day emissions from Fukushima of Iodine-131 would be about 20% of the total Chernobyl emissions, while those of Cesium-137 would be between 20 and 60% of the total Chernobyl emissions, depending whether one believes in the different Iodine to Caesium ratio measured in Japan.

So, iodine-131 was 20% of the total Chernobyl emissions in three days, cesium-137 20 to 60% of the total Chernobyl depending on who you believe.

Remember, in Chernobyl, the Reactor Pressure Vessel exploded. That hasn't happened, yet, in Fukushima, and already cesium-137 could be as high as 60% of Chernobyl in 3 days.

This is their latest GIF file (3/27/2011) showing how iodine-131 is blowing.

(h/t goes to Yomiuri Shinbun writer who mentioned it in 3/28/2011 article)

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