Monday, January 3, 2011

Silver Short Squeeze to Come? Carlos Slim May Enter the Fray...

Today's US market was just as expected, a big pump to start the new year, except oil collapsed after the announcement that the Obama admin will allow some offshore drilling, taking silver with it.

Silver??? They both come from under the ground, but other than that, what correlation could there be between oil and silver?

But don't worry overmuch, silver bugs. The world's richest man, Carlos Slim of Mexico, may soon enter the silver market in a big way by buying into Fresnillo, "the world largest primary silver producer and Mexico's second largest gold producer" whose stock price more than doubled last year, outperforming the North American competitors.

King World News Blog reports:

A source in mergers and acquisitions out of Europe has alerted King World News that Carlos Slim may be looking to enter the silver market in a big way. Gold and silver are in big bull markets and this is attracting the attention of some of the smartest money around the globe. James Turk commented, “If this deal does happen Eric, this is going to make the silver shorts choke.” Fresnillo has a current market cap of roughly $19 billion.

The European source commented, “This deal has been floating around for a while, but I think this time it is going to happen. It’s in his backyard. This is the world’s richest man wanting to get into silver.”

I view this as the only way for the richest man in the world to enter the silver market at this point in terms of any scale, is that your take as well?

“Yes, I agree with that. Let me just add that when he buys into it (Fresnillo) he will have the leverage to silver he is looking for. There are very few ways to get into silver with the amount of money he has, this is the most likely option at this point. He has to pay a hefty price or otherwise the deal will not happen. It is beginning to look like the longer he waits, the more he will have to pay. It is a bull market and things to tend to get more expensive, not less.”

King World News reached out to James Turk to get his comments. When asked about the potential buyout Turk stated, “If this is true he is following in the footsteps of John Paulson and his exposure to gold through Anglo Ashanti. In Carlos’s case, when you have billions of dollars to invest, it is impossible to buy physical silver in any significant quantity with the market so tight.

The point I am making is that Paulson ended up buying 30% of Anglo-Ashanti for a few billion dollars giving him exposure to the gold price.

If you have three, five, ten billion dollars to invest, you cannot buy physical gold or physical silver without sending the price sky high. So what can you do? You can buy a mining company.

Read the entire post at the link.

Just so you know, however, TA-wise, a correction may be due for silver (and gold). Technical indicators I use (MACD, slow stochastics, RSI, CCI, etc.) have been showing a negative divergence vis-a-vis the price action.


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