Wednesday, August 22, 2012

#Antinuclear Japan: Nearly 90% of Public Comments on National Energy Policy Are "Zero Nuke"


That's the number from analyzing 7,000 comments from the public on the national energy policy. 80,000 more to go.

The committee members who have been analyzing the public comments have already started to stress the importance of "quality" over the "quantity".

From Mainichi Shinbun (8/22/2012):

パブリックコメント:原発ゼロ支持9割 7000件分析

Support for "No nuclear plants" 90% of the 7000 public comments analyzed so far

政府は22日、新たなエネルギー政策の策定に向けて実施したパブリックコメント(意見公募)の意見の約9割が原発ゼロを支持しているとの分析結果を明らかにした。

On August 22, the national government disclosed the result of the analysis on the public comments that it received regarding the formulation of a new national energy policy, and said that about 90% of the comments supported "zero nuclear power plant".

 同日の「国民的議論に関する検証会合」で報告した。

It was reported in the committee to analyze the national [citizens'] debate.

 寄せられた8万9124件のうち約7000件を分析したところ、「ただちに原発ゼロ」が81.0%、「段階的にゼロ」が8.6%だった。原発容認と支持は合わせて約4%にとどまった。残りの約8万件も集計が終わり次第、公表する。

7,000 comments out of 89,124 comments have been analyzed so far. 81.0% favor "zero nuke plants immediately", 8.6% favor "zero nuke plants over time". Only 4% favor or support nuclear power plants.

 委員からは「数値の解釈より、質的な分析、考え方の筋道を重視すべきではないか」「(7、8月)2カ月の国民的議論では(短すぎて)熟議できない」などの意見が出た。

Commissioners expressed their opinions, such as "We should pay more attention to qualitative analysis and thought process, rather than the numbers", and "National debate for two months (in July and August) is just (too short to) discuss [the policy] fully".

 検証会合は次回以降、パブリックコメントや討論型世論調査などに寄せられた意見をどう活用するのかを協議する。検証結果は政府のエネルギー・環境会議に報告。将来的な原発依存度を示す「エネルギー・環境戦略」作りに反映させることを目指す。

In the next meetings, the committee will consider how to utilize the opinions from the public comments and opinion surveys in a form of public discussions using focus groups. The result of the analysis will be reported to the Energy and Environment Committee of the national government. The aim is to reflect [these opinions] on the "Energy and Environment Strategy", which will decide the future reliance on the nuclear power plants.


If the commissioners actually said that, it is quite laughable. If they think that the public thought about nuclear power plants and nuclear power generation only in July and August this year, they must be from a different planet.

Besides, these commissioners are supposed to be the experts in the field of statistics. What do they care about "qualitative" aspects? Looking at the list of commissioners, they are professors at prominent universities in Japan whose fields are law, political science, political economics, media, communications. I see. They must know how to massage the messages then, and that's "qualitative".

12 comments:

m a x l i said...

"81.0% favour zero nuke plants immediately."
OK, fine! Now we can watch, how the government will switch on the remaining reactors. (That will be interesting to find out how many are still working after the big earthquake.) Then the spin-doctors will be busy to sell this restart as "zero nuke". It's not too difficult, because after 20 years, at latest, it will be "zero nuke" after the last reactor has fallen apart or blown up sky-high. And we will see a thorough discussion of that topic over the next 20 years, because important matters you cannot decide on a whim and all the japanese people need to take part in that democratic process.

Anonymous said...

Once again, it seems to be forgotten that governments are supposed to do the people's will - regardless of how or why it is expressed.
Exactly which part of NO requires further analysis?
*mscharisma*

Anonymous said...

So what they are saying is if they get one "great well thought out" idea that supports nuclear power it could negate all the other responses? I feel sorry for the PR hack that has to come up with that little nugget of gold. Maybe they'll just say someone came up with a really good reason to keep nuclear around and it is so good they don't even have to discuss it.

Discounting the numbers seems to be a nuclear industry past time. The numbers for food contamination never matter and neither do the number of people against nuclear power.

JAnonymous said...

I think I can guess what they are going to say : restarting nuclear power plants is the way to make electricity that produces the least CO2. Renewable power plants would need to be manufactured (add some transport if you make them in China, so that the transport companies who don't get the tsunami waste can at least do something). This is a big one-time spike you have to overcome with time.

Otherwise, I don't see why the key point in the Ohi case can't be generalized to the whole country. They probably just need to buy some time until the PR mythbustere come up with a handful of holy trinity blessings : nice websites, catchy TV commercials and hypnotizing train boards.

Now to help them buy some time, I'm thinking about writing a research paper just for this case, although I can imagine a lot more applications. Here's my title : a novel metric to assess feedback quality using Inverse Population Distribution and an Arbitrary Discriminating Factor... IPD, ADF, that sounds so smart.

m a x l i said...

@JAnonymous, I'm truly impressed by your research project title and envy you quite a lot. It certainly looks like there is a good amount of money to be made, not to mention your further career prospects...

I would like to be your co-author, please!!!!!

Anonymous said...

Quality over quantity...
I think it was "The Remains of the Day" where the waiter (Anthony Hopkins) is asked by his employer (some nobleman) what he thinks about some matter of foreign policy. He somehow declines to answer and the lord takes that answer as a confirmation that lower classes should not be given right of suffrage because they do not know any better.
Apparently Noda and his mates still live in the feudal age, blissfully ignoring the "one man one vote" principle underlying modern democracy.
Beppe

JAnonymous said...

One more thing, this time for real ;-)

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/nn20120822a3.html

Title: Power use falls; reactors unneeded
Subtitle: July saw 6.3% drop in demand despite heat amid efforts to save

Anonymous said...

NHK news yesterday had a similar flavour: for Noda to meet the demonstrators was exceptional (異例), with a connotation of abnormality. Then NHK showed what was normality in the sixties: police charging against the demostrators.
At the same time, according to the same source, it seems it is perfecly fine to meet with lobbysts (keidanren and the like).
I guess it is again the quality vs. quantity criteria.
Beppe

Anonymous said...

It's not exceptional at all. Noda met these people just like he would meet Miss Peaches from Fukushima, athletes who won gold medals, etc.

Anonymous said...

I love it. Thanks for this gem of journalistm Ex SKF.

The part that really cracks me up is that these statiticians are "professors" who work in the Pseudo Sciences at any number of "universities" (that's institutions of higher learning, folks. I have taught for a number of years at many many universitites, as a part timer in Japan. Foreigners need not apply for full time work by the way (although this is much more than a racial issue, but a ladder of elitism). 90 percent of professors in the Pseudo Sciences are FRAUDS, know nothing cowards and liars who blantantly exploit the part time work force who do the lion's share of the work teaching the students! These other jokers sit in meaningless meetings or teach a couple of classes, and that is about it. They get junkets and first class seating on the trips to conferences. They are out of touch with the real world and actually do think their own feces does not stink! (sorry, but true). This is no exaggeration folks, of course there are exceptions, but not too many, not too many...

"When I sent the story written by Japanese Diplomat, Akio Matsumura, to a Japanese professor I know whose focus is international relations, the tenure-track professor dismissed it as “tabloid journalism.” Talk about a nation with its focus on its own navel, they don’t even know what danger they are in despite the 3/11 catastrophe."
http://www.activistpost.com/2012/06/never-ending-loads-of-disinformation.html

Anonymous said...

Yes, as one commenter above points out quite rightly, the climate change fraud is being used to promote nuclear. Cohen and McKillop dubunk this brilliantly in their absolute must read book for all anti nuke activists (no, I'm not on their payroll) The Doomsday Machine. While the science of climate change is surely a valid topic in itself, the politics of climate change is a scandal, nothing less.

See: The 6 Quadrillon Dollar Wall Street Scam
Christopher Monckton on the economics of fighting ‘global warming’
http://www.hangthebankers.com/the-6-quadrillion-cost-of-the-climate-scam/

New film on geoengineering and climate change, a must see!
http://farmwars.info/?p=9095

Anonymous said...

I am heartened to think of how much progress the anti-nuke side has made over the past 18 months. We have come a long way, thanks to the daily efforts of people like EX-SKF blogger, Iori at Fukushima Diary, all of the people who give countless hours of their time protesting, and many others who have decided to take action against the nuclear mura.

Together, we have educated the public. We have given voice to anti-nuclear sentiments. And we forced the Japanese government to at least discuss abandonment of nuclear power. They have even conceded that 50% of the public want it stopped by 2030 (of course we know that 90% want it stopped immediately, but hey, getting the government to admit to 50% is definately progress).

But this is not a time to rest. Strategically, we have the enemy on the run. We must pursue him and destroy him completely so that he cannot rise again against us.

We must insist that no nuclear plants be restarted and that Ooi be shut down. And that this happen now, not in 2030.

We must insist that Japan stop exporting nuclear technology or materials to other countries. Now.

We must inisist that the economic, social, environmental and health consequences of the Fukushima events be thoroughly documented and disclosed so that other countries can know the horror of a nuclear containment failure. Starting now.

Please don't stop your efforts. Don't slow down. We have the evil ones on the run. We should redouble our efforts and finish them now.

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